Abstract:Surface temperature is usually treated as a single mean value in most of the current global warming research.In response to this situation,based on the analysis of surface temperature spatiotemporal distribution characteristic,the radiative forcings of CO2,CH4 and so on were calculated and predicted by two ways:by the averaged surface temperature and by its spatiotemporal integration according to its spatiotemporal difference respectively.The results show that the radiative forcing of CO2 is affected by computation method most,with the absolute difference of the two methods of 0.12 W/m2,which is equivalent to 6% deviation.What's more,the deviation will increase further with the increase of CO2 atmospheric concentration.As far as trace greenhouse gases such as CH4 and so on are concerned,even if the concentrations increase substantially,the spatiotemporal difference will not affect their radiative forcings markedly.The radiative forcing of CH4 is about 25% of that of CO2 at present,but the yearly increasing rate of CH4's radiative forcing is lower than that of CO2 greatly,so if the concentration growth of CH4 can be controlled within 1 μL/m3,CH4's radiative forcing will be almost invariable with time,and will only amount to 11% of that of CO2 after 100 years.