CVD预测模型精确度优化措施探究
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TP301.6

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国家自然科学基金资助项目(51475308)


Exploration on accuracy optimization measures of CVD prediction model
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    摘要:

    疾病预防促进了预测模型的发展,但如何提高预测模型的精确度,就目前文章还没有提出一个综合性的措施。通过对国内外大量文献进行交叉性和多维性对比,寻求从各个模块改善心血管疾病(CVD)风险预测模型精确度的措施。手动检索395篇国内外在医学期刊上具有高影响力的文献,对文献进行统计和归类,并创新地提出不同数据分析方法和图、表分析机制,进行数据挖掘。得到为保证精确度达到0.8以上,在样本大小和时间间隔、数据来源、特征选择、建模方法等方面改善预测模型精确度的措施。运用改善措施开发的预测模型所得结果精确度要高于同种类其他模型。

    Abstract:

    Disease prevention has promoted the development of prediction models, but present papers have not put forward a comprehensive measure to improve the accuracy of prediction models. Through the cross-sectional and multi-dimensional comparison of a large number of domestic and foreign literature, the measures to improve the accuracy of prediction model for cardiovascular disease(CVD) risk from each module were sought. 395 domestic and foreign literature with high impact in medical journals was retrieved. Statistics analysis and classification of literature were performed. Different data analysis methods as well as mechanisms for chart and table analysis were creatively proposed. Data mining was carried out. In order to ensure the accuracy above 0.8, measures to improve the accuracy of prediction model were obtained from sample size and time interval, data source, feature selection, modeling method and other modules. The accuracy of the prediction model developed through the improvement measures is higher than other models of the same type.

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尹帅帅,石更强,孙旭阳. CVD预测模型精确度优化措施探究[J].上海理工大学学报,2022,44(2):185-195.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-07-15
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-04-27
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